Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryMoisés
20HR ←11
70R ←31
70RBI ←41
3SB ←0
.270AVG ←.227
Current Season
BenCategoryMoisés
17HR ←6
44R ←15
44RBI ←20
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.231
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Moisés Ballesteros
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.318)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Moisés Ballesteros: 11 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).