Rest of Season Projection
BenCategorySpencer
20HR ←10
70R ←40
70RBI ←43
3SB ←2
.270AVG ←.236
Current Season
BenCategorySpencer
17HR ←7
44R ←24
44RBI ←26
2SB ←1
.306AVG ←.289
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Spencer Horwitz
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.338)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Spencer Horwitz: 10 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).