Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryTJ
20HR ←11
70R ←37
70RBI ←46
3SB ←0
.270AVG ←.264
Current Season
BenCategoryTJ
17HR ←7
44R ←23
44RBI ←29
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
TJ Rumfield
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.339)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. TJ Rumfield: 11 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).