Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryHarrison
4HR →6
32R ←23
6RBI →32
6SB ←0
.233AVG ←.190
Current Season
BlakeCategoryHarrison
1HR →5
10R10
2RBI →14
2SB ←0
.269AVG ←.170
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.355 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.271 is 0.055 below the surface — regression coming
Harrison Bader
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.191 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Blake Dunn: 4 HR / 32 R. Harrison Bader: 6 HR / 23 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).