Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryIsaac
6HR6
35R35
7RBI →27
7SB ←5
.237AVG ←.206
Current Season
BlakeCategoryIsaac
1HR →3
10R →21
2RBI →16
2SB →3
.269AVG ←.216
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.356 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.274 is 0.060 below the surface — regression coming
Isaac Collins
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.300 below league with no luck excuse
Blake Dunn: 6 HR / 35 R. Isaac Collins: 6 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).