Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryJames
4HR →22
36R →78
7RBI →57
7SB →15
.219AVG →.255
Current Season
BlakeCategoryJames
1HR →16
10R →53
2RBI →39
2SB →10
.269AVG →.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.353 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.263 is 0.053 below the surface — regression coming
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Blake Dunn: 4 HR / 36 R. James Wood: 22 HR / 78 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).