Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryRyan
5HR →6
35R →42
7RBI →38
7SB ←0
.249AVG ←.193
Current Season
BlakeCategoryRyan
1HR →3
10R10
2RBI →9
2SB ←0
.269AVG ←.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.381 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.283 is 0.070 below the surface — regression coming
Ryan Kreidler
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.324)
Blake Dunn: 5 HR / 35 R. Ryan Kreidler: 6 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).