Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryRyan
38K ←29
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–6
1–4SV ←0
Current Season
BlakeCategoryRyan
18K ←12
3.06ERA →2.75
1.25WHIP →1.17
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Treinen
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.05)
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.36 is 0.61 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Blake Treinen: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).