Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryJordan
10HR →14
49R →60
40RBI →66
7SB →11
.302AVG ←.253
Current Season
BrandonCategoryJordan
5HR →15
29R →39
24RBI →43
4SB →7
.317AVG ←.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
Jordan Walker
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.369, +0.054 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 49 R. Jordan Walker: 14 HR / 60 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).