Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryMichael
10HR →17
49R ←46
40RBI →59
7SB ←5
.302AVG ←.297
Current Season
BrandonCategoryMichael
5HR →13
29R ←28
24RBI →36
4SB ←3
.317AVG ←.307
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
Michael Harris II
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.391, +0.076 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 49 R. Michael Harris II: 17 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).