Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryTeoscar
9HR →11
43R →45
36RBI →46
6SB ←3
.300AVG ←.253
Current Season
BrandonCategoryTeoscar
5HR →7
29R →30
24RBI →31
4SB ←2
.317AVG ←.276
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.401 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.338 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Teoscar Hernández
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.339, +0.024 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.355 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Brandon Marsh: 9 HR / 43 R. Teoscar Hernández: 11 HR / 45 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).