Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryTyler
93K →94
4.82ERA →4.05
1.43WHIP →1.38
1–2W1–2
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategoryTyler
52K →57
6.24ERA →6.04
1.53WHIP ←1.54
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Sproat
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.20 +1.10 vs league with no luck excuse
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brandon Sproat: 95 K / 4.81 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).