MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 13, 2026
Engraved portrait of Brandon Young
Brandon Young
BAL·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to
Matt Waldron
SD·P
Buy Low high·0.90
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

BrandonCategoryMatt
66K 67
4.28ERA 4.09
1.35WHIP 1.30
4–8W 2–4
0SV0

Current Season

BrandonCategoryMatt
33K 22
3.35ERA 8.49
1.37WHIP 1.71
3W 1
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Brandon Young
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.265 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.37 is 1.33 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Waldron
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.78 sits 0.32 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.384 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA

Young's 4.28 ERA trails Waldron's 4.09; K totals are nearly identical (66 vs 67). The verdicts split: sell-high on Young, dip-buy on Waldron.

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