MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Janson Junk
Janson Junk
MIA · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Waldron.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Janson Junk’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Janson Junk wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Janson Junk
94.2
Matt Waldron
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Janson Junk
8.6%
Matt Waldron
9.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Janson Junk
17.3%
Matt Waldron
20.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Janson Junk
28.1%
Matt Waldron
30.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Janson Junk
41.4%
Matt Waldron
38.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Janson Junk
7.2%
Matt Waldron
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Janson Junk
.317
Matt Waldron
.313
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Janson Junk
2.348.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.80
4.18
Matt Waldron
2.348.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Janson Junk
1.141.87
now 1.30
1.35
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Janson Junk
4051.40
now 43
38
Matt Waldron
4051.40
now 22
38
Winshigher is better
Janson Junk
.0005.20
now 3
24
Matt Waldron
.0005.20
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyJanson Junk — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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