Rest of Season Projection
ColeCategoryMatt
99K ←67
4.22ERA →4.09
1.33WHIP →1.30
1–3W →2–4
0SV0
Current Season
ColeCategoryMatt
45K ←22
4.84ERA ←8.49
1.42WHIP ←1.71
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cole Ragans
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.93)
Matt Waldron
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.78 sits 0.32 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.384 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cole Ragans: 100 K / 4.21 ERA. Matt Waldron: 68 K / 4.09 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).