Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryTroy
72K ←35
4.36ERA →4.10
1.37WHIP →1.30
4–9W4–9
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategoryTroy
33K ←4
3.35ERA →1.42
1.37WHIP →0.95
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Young
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.50 +0.40 vs league with no luck excuse
Troy Melton
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.175 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.47 is 2.73 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Brandon Young: 72 K / 4.36 ERA. Troy Melton: 35 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).