MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Brant Hurter
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Kilian.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves. Brant Hurter’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Brant Hurter wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brant Hurter
92.1
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brant Hurter
8.9%
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brant Hurter
17.8%
Caleb Kilian
27.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brant Hurter
26.8%
Caleb Kilian
32.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brant Hurter
32.9%
Caleb Kilian
34.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brant Hurter
4.3%
Caleb Kilian
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brant Hurter
.304
Caleb Kilian
.283
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brant Hurter
2.454.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.71
Caleb Kilian
2.454.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Brant Hurter
.9901.34
now 1.07
1.26
Caleb Kilian
.9901.34
now 1.15
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brant Hurter
4034.60
now 18
15
Caleb Kilian
4034.60
now 29
18
Winshigher is better
Brant Hurter
.0005.20
now 4
24
Caleb Kilian
.0005.20
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Brant Hurter
.0004.40
now 0
0
Caleb Kilian
.0004.40
now 3
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBrant Hurter — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
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