Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryElly
4HR →12
37R →52
39RBI →48
13SB13
.252AVG →.254
Current Season
BrayanCategoryElly
4HR →12
26R →40
27RBI →37
9SB →10
.293AVG ←.280
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Rocchio
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.320)
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Brayan Rocchio: 4 HR / 38 R. Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).