Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryOtto
5HR →11
43R →51
45RBI ←37
15SB15
.257AVG →.308
Current Season
BrayanCategoryOtto
4HR4
26R →33
27RBI ←24
9SB →10
.293AVG →.333
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Rocchio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.323 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.320 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Otto Lopez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Brayan Rocchio: 5 HR / 43 R. Otto Lopez: 11 HR / 51 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).