MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Brendon Little
TOR · P
Change to
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brendon Little wins 0 (none); Burch Smith wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brendon Little
96.1
Burch Smith
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brendon Little
16.9%
Burch Smith
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brendon Little
33.3%
Burch Smith
27.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brendon Little
31.5%
Burch Smith
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brendon Little
45.3%
Burch Smith
47.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brendon Little
7.5%
Burch Smith
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brendon Little
.301
Burch Smith
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brendon Little
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 27.00
3.70
Burch Smith
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brendon Little
.9002.55
now 3.86
1.24
Burch Smith
.9002.55
now 1.47
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brendon Little
4026
now 7
5
Burch Smith
4026
now 20
5
Winshigher is better
Brendon Little
.000.480
now 0
00
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowBrendon Little — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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