Rest of Season Projection
BrettCategoryMax
9HR ←8
33R →39
34RBI ←22
3SB →5
.231AVG ←.216
Current Season
BrettCategoryMax
3HR ←2
22R ←16
23RBI ←9
2SB2
.233AVG →.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brett Baty
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.292 below league with no luck excuse
Max Muncy
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.298)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.354 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Brett Baty: 9 HR / 33 R. Max Muncy: 8 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).