Rest of Season Projection
BrettCategoryMiguel
10HR →15
37R →67
39RBI →58
3SB →14
.236AVG ←.229
Current Season
BrettCategoryMiguel
3HR →15
22R →44
23RBI →38
2SB →9
.233AVG →.241
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brett Baty
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Brett Baty: 10 HR / 37 R. Miguel Vargas: 15 HR / 67 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).