Rest of Season Projection
BrettCategoryConnor
2HR →5
12R →27
27RBI →34
0SB →3
.194AVG →.228
Current Season
BrettCategoryConnor
1HR ←0
4R →8
9RBI →10
0SB →1
.195AVG →.258
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brett Sullivan
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.241)
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Brett Sullivan: 2 HR / 12 R. Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).