Rest of Season Projection
BrettCategoryJoey
2HR →5
10R →31
23RBI ←21
0SB0
.220AVG ←.198
Current Season
BrettCategoryJoey
1HR →2
4R →9
9RBI ←6
0SB0
.195AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brett Sullivan
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.273)
Joey Bart
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.361 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.256 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Brett Sullivan: 2 HR / 10 R. Joey Bart: 5 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).