MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 15, 2026
Portrait of Bryan Abreu
Bryan Abreu
HOU · P
Change to
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Bryan Abreu wins 1 (K); Chris Murphy wins 1 (W); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
95.2
Chris Murphy
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
13.0%
Chris Murphy
16.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
28.2%
Chris Murphy
21.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
25.5%
Chris Murphy
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
50.7%
Chris Murphy
34.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
8.2%
Chris Murphy
7.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
.344
Chris Murphy
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan Abreu
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.87
3.70
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Bryan Abreu
.9002.55
now 2.02
1.24
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
4036.80
now 23
28
Chris Murphy
4036.80
now 6
16
Winshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
.0005.20
now 2
13
Chris Murphy
.0005.20
now 1
14
Saveshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
.0006.60
now 3
24
Chris Murphy
.0006.60
now 1
15
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBryan Abreu — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeChris Murphy — hold.conf 0.50
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