MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Portrait of Bryan King
Bryan King
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Bryan King wins 2 (K, SV); Caleb Thielbar wins 2 (WHIP, W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan King
91.9
Caleb Thielbar
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan King
8.8%
Caleb Thielbar
15.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan King
18.2%
Caleb Thielbar
29.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan King
31.2%
Caleb Thielbar
37.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan King
37.0%
Caleb Thielbar
32.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan King
1.9%
Caleb Thielbar
12.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan King
.291
Caleb Thielbar
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan King
2.504.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.69
Caleb Thielbar
2.504.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Bryan King
1.171.41
now 1.30
1.25
Caleb Thielbar
1.171.41
now 1.34
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan King
4030.60
now 19
25
Caleb Thielbar
4030.60
now 15
24
Winshigher is better
Bryan King
.0007
now 0
00
Caleb Thielbar
.0007
now 2
25
Saveshigher is better
Bryan King
.00010.80
now 6
58
Caleb Thielbar
.00010.80
now 2
16
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBryan King — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
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