Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryOrion
33K →36
3.70ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W →3–7
2–8SV ←1–3
Current Season
CalebCategoryOrion
15K →23
2.84ERA →2.53
1.34WHIP →1.13
2W →3
2SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Thielbar
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.82)
Orion Kerkering
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.39 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Caleb Thielbar: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Orion Kerkering: 36 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).