Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryEmmet
92K →115
3.05ERA ←3.71
1.28WHIP →1.17
4–9W ←4–8
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryEmmet
61K →62
2.50ERA ←4.50
1.08WHIP ←1.16
4W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.05 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Emmet Sheehan
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.71, 0.39 below league — production is earned
Bryce Elder: 92 K / 3.05 ERA. Emmet Sheehan: 115 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).