Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryShota
88K →103
3.06ERA ←3.85
1.28WHIP →1.17
4–8W4–8
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryShota
61K →69
2.50ERA ←4.37
1.08WHIP →1.07
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.06 is 0.43 above the ERA — regression coming
Shota Imanaga
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.85)
Bryce Elder: 88 K / 3.06 ERA. Shota Imanaga: 103 K / 3.85 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).