Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryNathan
92K →105
3.05ERA ←4.18
1.28WHIP →1.19
4–9W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryNathan
61K →67
2.50ERA ←3.93
1.08WHIP ←1.11
4W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.05 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Nathan Eovaldi
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.23)
Bryce Elder: 92 K / 3.05 ERA. Nathan Eovaldi: 105 K / 4.18 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).