MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Bubba Chandler.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Ryne Nelson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bubba Chandler wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Ryne Nelson wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bubba Chandler
98.6
Ryne Nelson
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bubba Chandler
11.2%
Ryne Nelson
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bubba Chandler
20.4%
Ryne Nelson
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bubba Chandler
29.4%
Ryne Nelson
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bubba Chandler
37.2%
Ryne Nelson
43.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bubba Chandler
6.2%
Ryne Nelson
10.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bubba Chandler
.309
Ryne Nelson
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bubba Chandler
3.635.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.85
3.98
Ryne Nelson
3.635.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
4.83
WHIPlower is better
Bubba Chandler
1.061.65
now 1.52
1.45
Ryne Nelson
1.061.65
now 1.19
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bubba Chandler
4057.60
now 52
46
Ryne Nelson
4057.60
now 52
40
Winshigher is better
Bubba Chandler
.5202.48
now 1
11
Ryne Nelson
.5202.48
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBubba Chandler — hold.conf 0.60
SellRyne Nelson — sell.conf 0.89
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