Rest of Season Projection
BubbaCategoryTyler
90K →94
4.22ERA →4.05
1.48WHIP →1.38
1–2W1–2
0SV0
Current Season
BubbaCategoryTyler
52K →57
4.85ERA ←6.04
1.52WHIP ←1.54
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bubba Chandler
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.28)
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Bubba Chandler: 91 K / 4.21 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).