MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Dylan Smith
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Dylan Smith’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 1 categories (K); Dylan Smith wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Dylan Smith
95.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Dylan Smith
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Dylan Smith
25.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Dylan Smith
31.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Dylan Smith
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Dylan Smith
8.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Dylan Smith
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Dylan Smith
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
.9001.82
now 1.47
1.24
Dylan Smith
.9001.82
now 0.60
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4027.20
now 20
14
Dylan Smith
4027.20
now 2
13
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Dylan Smith
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeDylan Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet