MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Alex Hoppe
Alex Hoppe
BAL · P
Change to
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 1 categories (K); Alex Hoppe wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Hoppe
97.9
Burch Smith
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Hoppe
13.1%
Burch Smith
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Hoppe
27.0%
Burch Smith
27.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Hoppe
28.8%
Burch Smith
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Hoppe
42.5%
Burch Smith
47.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Hoppe
3.8%
Burch Smith
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Hoppe
.300
Burch Smith
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Hoppe
2.126.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.84
3.70
Burch Smith
2.126.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Alex Hoppe
1.121.66
now 1.54
1.24
Burch Smith
1.121.66
now 1.47
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Hoppe
4025.60
now 12
13
Burch Smith
4025.60
now 20
14
Winshigher is better
Alex Hoppe
.000.480
now 0
00
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAlex Hoppe — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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