MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 2 (K, WHIP); Paul Blackburn wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Paul Blackburn
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Paul Blackburn
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Paul Blackburn
20.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Paul Blackburn
27.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Paul Blackburn
32.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Paul Blackburn
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Paul Blackburn
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Paul Blackburn
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.50
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
Paul Blackburn
1.151.56
now 1.44
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4025.60
now 20
14
Paul Blackburn
4025.60
now 16
10
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0002.80
now 0
00
Paul Blackburn
.0002.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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