MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Garrett Cleavinger
Garrett Cleavinger
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Garrett Cleavinger wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Garrett Cleavinger
96.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Garrett Cleavinger
13.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Garrett Cleavinger
29.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Garrett Cleavinger
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Garrett Cleavinger
40.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Garrett Cleavinger
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Garrett Cleavinger
.317
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Garrett Cleavinger
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.65
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
Garrett Cleavinger
1.151.56
now 1.46
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4026
now 20
5
Garrett Cleavinger
4026
now 17
5
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0001.48
now 0
00
Garrett Cleavinger
.0001.48
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowGarrett Cleavinger — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.77
Tweet