MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Jason Foley
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Jason Foley wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Jason Foley
96.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Jason Foley
7.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Jason Foley
13.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Jason Foley
22.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Jason Foley
38.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Jason Foley
4.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Jason Foley
.290
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Jason Foley
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
.9002.06
now 1.47
1.24
Jason Foley
.9002.06
now 0.00
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4027.60
now 20
5
Jason Foley
4027.60
now 1
5
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Jason Foley
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJason Foley — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.81
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