MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Javier Assad
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Javier Assad wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Javier Assad
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Javier Assad
6.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Javier Assad
15.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Javier Assad
21.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Javier Assad
50.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Javier Assad
8.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Javier Assad
.339
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.106.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Javier Assad
2.106.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.88
4.44
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
Javier Assad
1.151.56
now 1.27
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4032.60
now 20
27
Javier Assad
4032.60
now 14
27
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.00011.20
now 0
00
Javier Assad
.00011.20
now 3
38

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
SellJavier Assad — sell.conf 0.77
Tweet