MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Jeremiah Estrada
Jeremiah Estrada
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Jeremiah Estrada wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Jeremiah Estrada
95.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Jeremiah Estrada
14.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Jeremiah Estrada
30.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Jeremiah Estrada
31.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Jeremiah Estrada
33.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Jeremiah Estrada
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Jeremiah Estrada
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Jeremiah Estrada
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
.9101.63
now 1.47
1.24
Jeremiah Estrada
.9101.63
now 1.07
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4028.80
now 20
5
Jeremiah Estrada
4028.80
now 22
5
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0002.80
now 0
00
Jeremiah Estrada
.0002.80
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJeremiah Estrada — hold.conf 0.50
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