MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Jordan Hicks
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Burch Smith wins 1 (K); Jordan Hicks wins 1 (SV); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Jordan Hicks
99.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Jordan Hicks
7.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Jordan Hicks
22.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Jordan Hicks
22.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Jordan Hicks
33.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Jordan Hicks
1.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Jordan Hicks
.311
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.216.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Jordan Hicks
2.216.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.60
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
.9002.43
now 1.47
1.24
Jordan Hicks
.9002.43
now 2.09
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4031.60
now 20
26
Jordan Hicks
4031.60
now 15
20
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Jordan Hicks
.000.480
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0003.40
now 0
0
Jordan Hicks
.0003.40
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJordan Hicks — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.75
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