MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Sean Newcomb
Sean Newcomb
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Sean Newcomb.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Sean Newcomb wins 2 categories (K, SV); Burch Smith wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Sean Newcomb
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Sean Newcomb
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Sean Newcomb
24.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Sean Newcomb
27.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Sean Newcomb
35.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Sean Newcomb
4.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Sean Newcomb
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.194.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Sean Newcomb
2.194.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.62
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
.9201.63
now 1.47
1.24
Sean Newcomb
.9201.63
now 1.08
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4036.60
now 20
26
Sean Newcomb
4036.60
now 31
28
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Sean Newcomb
.000.480
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0003.40
now 0
0
Sean Newcomb
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
BuySean Newcomb — buy.conf 0.72
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