MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Phil Maton
Phil Maton
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Phil Maton wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Phil Maton
90.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Phil Maton
12.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Phil Maton
22.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Phil Maton
29.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Phil Maton
42.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Phil Maton
11.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Phil Maton
.389
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Phil Maton
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.23
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.051.90
now 1.47
1.24
Phil Maton
1.051.90
now 1.71
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4028.80
now 20
5
Phil Maton
4028.80
now 22
5
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Phil Maton
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seePhil Maton — hold.conf 0.50
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