Rest of Season Projection
ByronCategoryTroy
20HR ←8
62R ←38
42RBI ←41
8SB ←5
.215AVG →.297
Current Season
ByronCategoryTroy
17HR ←2
40R ←23
27RBI ←25
5SB ←3
.258AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Byron Buxton
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.323)
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.404 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.330 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
Byron Buxton: 20 HR / 62 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).