Rest of Season Projection
CalCategoryWill
31K →34
3.71ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
CalCategoryWill
14K →20
2.53ERA ←7.23
1.22WHIP ←1.45
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cal Quantrill
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.61 is 2.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Will Vest
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.59 sits 0.51 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cal Quantrill: 31 K / 3.71 ERA. Will Vest: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).