Rest of Season Projection
CalCategoryJason
34K ←33
3.71ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W ←2–6
0SV →1–3
Current Season
CalCategoryJason
14K ←11
2.53ERA →0.90
1.22WHIP →1.00
2W2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cal Quantrill
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.262 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.51 is 2.09 above the ERA — regression coming
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.03 is 1.32 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cal Quantrill: 34 K / 3.71 ERA. Jason Adam: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).