MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Grant Wolfram
Grant Wolfram
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Grant Wolfram wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Grant Wolfram
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.2%
Grant Wolfram
13.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.9%
Grant Wolfram
26.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.8%
Grant Wolfram
33.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
34.0%
Grant Wolfram
40.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
2.1%
Grant Wolfram
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.286
Grant Wolfram
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Grant Wolfram
25.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.90
now 0.60
1.24
Grant Wolfram
.9001.90
now 1.53
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4046.60
now 6
35
Grant Wolfram
4046.60
now 21
30
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Grant Wolfram
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowGrant Wolfram — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.79
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