MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Daniel Palencia
Daniel Palencia
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Kilian.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Daniel Palencia wins 2 (WHIP, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Daniel Palencia
99.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.2%
Daniel Palencia
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.0%
Daniel Palencia
26.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.5%
Daniel Palencia
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
35.5%
Daniel Palencia
30.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
7.3%
Daniel Palencia
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.287
Daniel Palencia
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
24.41
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.68
Daniel Palencia
24.41
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.31
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.031.58
now 1.15
1.25
Daniel Palencia
1.031.58
now 1.46
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4035.80
now 29
20
Daniel Palencia
4035.80
now 12
17
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.5202.48
now 2
12
Daniel Palencia
.5202.48
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.4007.60
now 3
23
Daniel Palencia
.4007.60
now 3
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeDaniel Palencia — hold.conf 0.50
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