MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 8, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Kilian.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 2 categories (ERA, SV); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Pierce Johnson
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.8%
Pierce Johnson
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.7%
Pierce Johnson
20.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.8%
Pierce Johnson
35.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
36.1%
Pierce Johnson
39.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.2%
Pierce Johnson
11.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.289
Pierce Johnson
.366
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.054.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.45
Pierce Johnson
3.054.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.081.40
now 1.15
1.33
Pierce Johnson
1.081.40
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4034.60
now 29
15
Pierce Johnson
4034.60
now 20
15
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.5202.48
now 2
12
Pierce Johnson
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0004.40
now 3
12
Pierce Johnson
.0004.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCaleb Kilian — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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