MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Drohan
Shane Drohan
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 2 (WHIP, SV); Shane Drohan wins 2 (K, ERA); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Shane Drohan
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.8%
Shane Drohan
13.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
28.5%
Shane Drohan
22.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.8%
Shane Drohan
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
37.2%
Shane Drohan
38.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.5%
Shane Drohan
8.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.301
Shane Drohan
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
2.494.19
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.70
Shane Drohan
2.494.19
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.87
3.49
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.081.36
now 1.15
1.25
Shane Drohan
1.081.36
now 1.15
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4047.80
now 29
24
Shane Drohan
4047.80
now 33
41
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0005.20
now 2
13
Shane Drohan
.0005.20
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0005.60
now 3
24
Shane Drohan
.0005.60
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
BuyShane Drohan — buy.conf 0.78
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