MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Victor Vodnik
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Victor Vodnik.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — WHIP and saves. Caleb Kilian’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Victor Vodnik wins 2 categories (WHIP, SV); Caleb Kilian wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Victor Vodnik
98.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Victor Vodnik
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
28.1%
Victor Vodnik
16.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.4%
Victor Vodnik
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
36.0%
Victor Vodnik
36.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.0%
Victor Vodnik
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.296
Victor Vodnik
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.70
Victor Vodnik
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
.9002.49
now 1.15
1.25
Victor Vodnik
.9002.49
now 2.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4034.60
now 29
21
Victor Vodnik
4034.60
now 16
21
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.5202.48
now 2
12
Victor Vodnik
.5202.48
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.4007.60
now 3
23
Victor Vodnik
.4007.60
now 4
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCaleb Kilian — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeVictor Vodnik — hold.conf 0.55
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